[debate] population controls and the Paul Holdren controversy

[Anton Chuvakin]

>> I loved Stratfor's take on it in "The Next 100 Years"
>> (http://www.amazon.com/Next-100-Years-Forecast-Century/dp/038551705X)
>
>> They basically say it will taper off with no issue in all
>> countries over 21st century and that's all there is to it.
>
> Not having read the book I have to assume that means something like: "Population will plateau and stabilize".  That kind of
>forecast only holds as long as lifespans stay stable, which is highly unlikely.  Just about the time population growth due to current

Not necessarily; first, lifespan will definitely stability unless
anything super-new is invented in medicine (some say yes [singularity,
whatever], I say 'not likely'). Second, Stratfor's claim is not in
lifespan but in decreased birth rates EVEN IN what we now call
developing world.

And, BTW, I am NOT talking XXIV, more like later XXI.

All bets are off for XXIV century; both today's solutions (e.g.
medicine) BUT ALSO today's problems..

-- 
    Anton Chuvakin, Ph.D
   http://www.chuvakin.org
http://chuvakin.blogspot.com
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